Macroeconomics Is Complete Bunkum

By Bill Frezza
Quick ? name a ?science? for which the Nobel Prize is regularly awarded in close succession to winners that directly contradict each other.

Or how about a ?science? in which theories often become discredited then return just to be discredited, then return yet again?

Or a ?science? in which it?s taken for granted that learned practitioners from rival tribes will examine the same data and come to diametrically opposed conclusions?

Can you imagine a ?science? in which it?s impossible to perform repeatable experiments capable of invalidating hypotheses?

How about a ?science? in which rabid partisans are paid to bark at each other on Sunday morning talk shows?

(Back to Article)

Join the Discussion

19 Comments | Post Comment

Posted by: Dot
Comment: #1  
Dec 08, 08:08 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

And if economists are ridiculous (which they are), how much more so are 27 year old stock brokers touting the investing advice of 25 year old stock analysts who think they can glance at a company's publicly disclosed balance sheets and get a subterfuge-free understanding of its true condition?

Posted by: WM
Comment: #2  
Dec 08, 08:10 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

So very true. Thank you for writing this. I don't know how these "economists" like Paul Krugman get away with shoveling a steaming pile of s--- into the national conversation after their economic school has been discredited in every generation since its birth. Reason and the scientific method have nothing to do with anything he does. With him and the Keynesian cult followers, it's all one big conceptual shell game. The understanding and the outrage found in this column ought to be widespread throughout the public to prevent these witch doctors from "experimenting" in their alchemy at our expense.

Ayn Rand wrote a very interesting essay about the mentalities and interactions of the "experts" and the rulers. It was called "Attila and the Witch Doctor" and it was in Return of the Primitive: The Anti-Industrial Revolution.

Posted by: Mitty
Comment: #3  
Dec 08, 11:47 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

You're giving much too much credit to university professors. The calamities of communism never appeared in the text books they read or assigned.

Unicorns, pixies, & share-the-wealth utopias still exist in their minds.

Posted by: Sammie
Comment: #4  
Dec 08, 12:09 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

You know, you could re-use this article and substitute "climate change expert" for "economist" and it would be pretty accurate too.

Posted by: Mark A. Sadowski
Comment: #5  
Dec 08, 12:31 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

As an all but dissertation economist, an applied macroeconomist to be precise, this really smarts! Alas there is a grain of truth to this, and I can assure you, that in grad school, we make black humored jokes about macroeconomics all the time. Still this would be funnier if it had been written by an economist, and I would point out, as bad as macroeconomics is, I value it enough to make it my profession, and there still is no alternative.

In the spirit of this article, allow me to post an image of the Voodoo Economists from the Futurama episode "Three Hundred Big Boys."

[theinfosphere.org]

Posted by: Nicholas Harding
Comment: #6  
Dec 08, 12:32 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

What makes this different from astrology?

Astrology has a set of well known standards that have been handed down from generation to generation for thousands of years and have been demonstrated to work in plays by the Bard.

Posted by: Mark A. Sadowski
Comment: #7  
Dec 08, 12:34 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

For whatever reason the link does not work. So here it is, just add "http://" in front:

theinfosphere.org/Image:VoodooEconomists.png

Posted by: Shakespeare
Comment: #8  
Dec 08, 01:31 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

Just to let you know, economics is not a science. It is a social science where one studies the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. In societies things change. Societal changes often happen faster than capitalists and government care to notice. When you have extra greedy capitalists and extra neglegent government leaders (Presidents who dont read newspapers), the negative economic impact can be severe. Just check your 401K, or have your home appraised.

For the last few years capitalists and President Bush have ignored the macroeconomic evidence that the American public could not afford their own life style. When the macroeconomic evidence of nationwide foreclosures were frontpage headlines on every newspaper in the nation over a year ago, the federal government and capitalists sat on their hands and ignored it and look what happend.

When Macroeconomic principles are ignored, microeconomic principles can not be put into place.

Posted by: Mitty
Comment: #9  
Dec 08, 05:34 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

Shakespeare, please consider these before you assign blame:

[www.washingtontimes.com]

[online.wsj.com]

[online.wsj.com]

[www.realclearmarkets.com]

[www.washingtonpost.com]

[www.foxnews.com]

Posted by: Richard
Comment: #10  
Dec 08, 08:36 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

Thanks. I loved it.

Posted by: John
Comment: #11  
Dec 08, 09:30 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

What a load of unsubstantiated ignorance, name-calling, and knocking down straw men. It is not worth my time to give a detailed reply. Consider just this for a start. Mr. Frezza likes microeconomics and thinks it is valuable. Macroeconomics is nothing but dynamic general equilibrium, which is a branch of microeconomics. So macro in fact is a subset of micro. Next, note that there always are kooks. There are a lot of serious people who don't pop off with nonsense to curry favor in the press, but people like Mr. Frezza conveniently ignore them. Gee, I even know of a few raving ignoramuses in the journalism field. Should I conclude that journalism is a subject that almost seems to require that its practitioners know nothing about anything so that they can put on airs and act superior to everybody else? If Mr. Frezza is typical, the answer is a resounding yes.

Posted by: John
Comment: #12  
Dec 08, 09:34 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

Oh, I see Mr. Frezza isn't a journalist but a capital manager. One of the crowd that brought us CDOs, mortgage backed securities, impenetrable exotic derivatives, and ultimately a financial crisis. Good work, Mr. Frezza. You sure are in a good position to ridicule economists, aren't you?

Posted by: David
Comment: #13  
Dec 09, 01:46 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

Brilliant! Bill, you articulate what I've long felt, especially when reading the conflicting nonsense written about the great depression. I note Buffett and Munger have a similar cynicism towards macro, much preferring micro analysis. And this is in a sense echoed by the Austrian understanding of business cycles which disparages the use of aggregates and other perverse simplifications.

Posted by: Rahul
Comment: #14  
Dec 09, 03:18 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

Thanks for writing this. This is the first time ever i have read such a truthful description of what macroeconomics really is.

Posted by: Hogwash
Comment: #15  
Dec 09, 04:01 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

Your basic premise is incorrect:
The degree is in fact a B.A. in Economics, not a BSc.
THAT is the mother of all disclaimers.

Posted by: Al
Comment: #16  
Dec 09, 12:16 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

There are 2 kinds of economists.

1. There are the ones who look at the characteristics of the economy and make predictions. They practice a less than perfect science and human irrationality makes their jobs difficult, as do the efforts of type 2 economists.

2. These folks are salespeople. They come up with predictions that best fit their desired outcomes, and sometimes go as far as cherry picking characteristics of the economy to support their 'predictions.' They're evil.

Posted by: Bill Frezza
Comment: #17  
Dec 09, 03:51 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

John Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Oh, I see Mr. Frezza isn't a journalist but a
> capital manager. One of the crowd that brought us
> CDOs, mortgage backed securities, impenetrable
> exotic derivatives, and ultimately a financial
> crisis. Good work, Mr. Frezza. You sure are in a
> good position to ridicule economists, aren't you?

Yes, after a busy day helping inventors turn their PowerPoints into real products and businesses, struggling to keep my semiconductor companies out of the ditch, and either working with CEOs to recruit board members or working with board member to replace CEOs, I peddle exotic derivatives out of my spare room just to keep my hand in. smiling smiley

Posted by: Smokin Joe
Comment: #18  
Dec 13, 10:17 AM
Report Abuse
Reply

Spot on piece.

Recently read a piece that comes from a similar perspective on the current economic crisis and the bailout: [social.consimworld.com]

Strange place, but good article.

Posted by: Morten Krogh
Comment: #19  
Dec 22, 04:27 PM
Report Abuse
Reply

Very nice article.

Wbat does it take to change?

A devastating depression followed by a war.

But maybe that is not even enough.



Goto: SearchLog In
Your Name: 
Your Email:  (Optional)